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. the republicans won basically it was two holds in nevada and arizona, again still waiting for results in the senate race in north dakota and montana. the most significant change in the senate last night was the increased number of women. we've reached an historic number of 19 women in the u.s. senate, that includes elizabeth warren who won in massachusetts defeating a moderate republican senator scott murphy. in that race, she becomes the first female senator from massachusetts, a former member of the obama administration and harvard professor. in wisconsin, tammy baldwin defeats tommy thompson, she becomes the first female senator from that state and first openly gay u.s. senator. >> byron, what happened in the house? >> well, in the house it was a status quo election there as well. there the republicans retain control of the house of representatives. they got to the magic number to take back the house. currently there are 226 republicans in the house and as you said a lot of money was spent,bout $2.3 billion on congressional races and when it was all over it was about just like it w
, nevada, and iowa. so how does this model work? >> so every poll that people read about goes into the model and sees the projection in some way. >> reporter: there might be 30 or 40 of them a day in this year's poll-happy universe. silver's model averaging all those polls and then factors in how well they've performed in past elections and he comes up with probabilities like gambling odds. >> florida, for example, we had romney with a 60% chance of winning. that's how often when you have a one-point lead in the average of polls you've wound up winning in the past. in ohio we have obama with about a 75% chance of winning because he has a larger lead so it's more likely to be enduring on election day itself. >> i'm projecting that you need to win 99 games in order to make it to the post office. >> reporter: think money ball, the book and film about how a geek used numbers to outdo the oakland a's scouts using their intuition to find undervalued baseball players who could win. in other words, the stat-heads versus the pundits again. nate silver started out as a baseball statisti
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